"There's no doubt that when MIT reports a 95% failure rate in AI pilot programs, it's alarming," Mike Sinoway, CEO of AI-powered search software company Lucidworks, told Fortune. "But the problem has less to do with the underlying technology and more with how companies are approaching it.
"In our own research, polling over 1,600 AI practitioners and leaders and validating this with bot analysis, we found 65% of teams are rolling out AI without the fundamental tech infrastructure in place," he said. "Trying to build cutting-edge applications atop weak foundations is like building an F1 car on a go-kart engine -- you simply won't get results. So while a 95% failure rate might seem like a sign of a bubble, once organizations focus more on what AI actually needs to succeed, we'll begin to see the traction everyone is expecting."
Chase Feiger, CEO of Ostro, an AI-powered platform for life sciences brands, agreed current volatility is part of a typical tech cycle. "Talk of an AI bubble isn't new," Feiger told Fortune.
"Every major tech shift goes through a stage where hype runs ahead of business fundamentals," he said. "Some companies are burning money on inference costs, offering 'all-you-can-eat' models that cost thousands to run but bring in only hundreds in revenue -- a pattern reminiscent of Uber's early years. That overinflation explains market caution, but the underlying technology isn't overhyped. In health care, for example, AI is transforming drug development, patient care, and physician decision-making.
"The correction will come. But over the long haul, the winners will be those who prove AI delivers durable value in complex, high-stakes environments," Feiger added.
Harvard professor Christina Inge told Fortune the duality at work is nothing new.
"Investors are right to be cautious," she said. "Not every company claiming to be 'AI-driven' is creating real value; a lot of it is smoke and mirrors, with some tools amounting to incremental improvements on non-AI tech. Correction is inevitable, as history shows.
"But the technology isn't going away. AI is already making a difference in health care, marketing, logistics, and finance. And we're only scratching the surface. In the long run, I expect the impact of AI to rival the Industrial Revolution. There's a lot of froth in the market right now, but the bigger story is just beginning. In other words: short-term bubble, long-term transformation."
That view is echoed by Shay Boloor, chief market strategist at Futurum Equities.
"What we're seeing isn't a bubble, but the foundation of a new economy," Boloor told Fortune. "There will be volatility -- inevitable with a sector this hot -- but the fundamental reality is every industry will be transformed by AI. Just look at Microsoft and Meta this quarter: Azure hit its biggest revenue numbers ever, Microsoft Cloud crossed $46 billion, and Meta monetized not just attention but intelligence, with 22% revenue growth and 38% profit growth, while spending $70 billion in capex. The demand is not hypothetical -- it's scaling now.
"We're not at the peak of AI. We're at an inflection point."
Siamak Freydoonnejad, cofounder of Sprites AI, which makes an AI-powered marketing agent, says, however, deciding whether or not we're in an AI bubble "misses the point" entirely.
"Stock prices may have outpaced fundamentals," Freydoonnejad told Fortune,"but inside enterprises, AI is already infrastructure."
"No one who's seen campaign launch speed improve by 70% is going back to the old way," he said. "Some vendors did slap 'AI' on legacy products to cash in, but those valuations will be corrected -- and deservedly so. What matters is which firms are using AI not as a shallow trend but as the basis for their entire product. Real efficiency gains are showing up for companies embedding AI deeply in their workflows. The market is about to sort out those with substantive results from those selling only promises."
Omar Kouhlani, CEO of Runmic, which uses AI to design revenue strategies for sales teams, told Fortune infrastructure spending reveals the true momentum.
"Big Tech just raised AI spending guidance to $360 billion-plus for 2025, up sharply from previous estimates. I watch those numbers more closely than day-to-day share price changes," he said.
"This isn't a rejection of AI; it's a market becoming more selective," Kouhlani continued. "The crash is separating real AI revenues from companies that only have AI PowerPoints. We're not in another dotcom bust. The infrastructure is being built now; expectations are adjusting faster than technology itself."
Usha Haley, the W. Frank Barton Distinguished Chair in International Business and professor of management at the Barton School of Business at Wichita State University, argues that cycles of bubbles and corrections are intrinsic to tech revolutions. "Historically, every breakthrough technology comes with bubbles," Haley told Fortune. "AI is already delivering productivity gains even as it erodes some jobs. We'll see some correction and consolidation but not a collapse. The strongest players will emerge into a changed landscape. Regulation and stochastic shocks could alter outcomes but competitive environments -- not monopolies -- will point to future leaders."
Fabian Stephany, a lecturer at the University of Oxford, sees evidence for both sides: "To some extent, yes, there is an AI bubble. But long-term fundamentals are exceptionally strong," he told Fortune. "Many firms use AI for marketing more than substance, which has inflated valuations. Yet stock-market gains this year are overwhelmingly linked to real advances in AI at companies like Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, and Broadcom. Nvidia alone accounts for 26% of the S&P's advance, underscoring real market transformation."
David Brudenell, executive director at Decidr, which builds an AI-powered operating system for businesses to automate workflows, told Fortune that "correction is necessary" as it "separates speculation from structural value." And David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, agreed: "Pullbacks are normal after rallies stall.
"Major players like Palantir and Microsoft failed to hold breakouts after strong earnings. That's a sign the good news may be priced in," Russell told Fortune."Markets move ahead of fundamentals, but excessive prices punish those chasing the froth. In the weeks ahead, sentiment could shift to other macro factors."
The expert consensus is clear: While stocks have pulled back, the fundamentals behind AI remain strong. Most believe the recent rout is an overdue market sorting -- separating hype from reality, speculation from enduring value. Even MIT's cautious findings are seen as a spur rather than a death knell.
Now, all eyes will turn to Nvidia, which reports quarterly earnings next week. But broadly speaking, what the market is experiencing isn't a sign of crisis, but a marker of growing pains.