Iran regime's resilience poses a challenge and Trump's tariff war enters new phase: Morning Rundown

Iran regime's resilience poses a challenge and Trump's tariff war enters new phase: Morning Rundown
Source: NBC News

In today's newsletter: Iran's regime shows it can still impact the global economy. Trump will launch investigations into more than a dozen trade partners. And hundreds of Oklahomans are accusing State Farm of a secret scheme to cheat homeowners.

Here's what to know today.

As the war President Donald Trump described as a "little excursion" stretches into a thirteenth day, Iran has shown it can still trigger a global economic crisis. Tehran's regime remains in power and has effectively shut down a crucial chokepoint for the world's oil supplies -- even amid a barrage of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes.

This is Morning Rundown, a weekday newsletter to start your day.

The Iranian government's resilience is posing a challenge as the Trump administration grapples with the mounting price of war -- the first six days cost an estimated $11.3 billion -- and struggles to articulate an endgame to the conflict. And the White House has until the end of the month before rising gas prices become an "unsustainable" political five-alarm fire, an administration official said.

If the current pace of airstrikes continues for two to three more weeks, Iran's conventional military power could be set back several years, former U.S. officials and analysts say. But growing fallout from the country's retaliation around the Persian Gulf raises questions about the White House's war planning and its potential underestimation of the regime's resilience.

The Trump administration announced a wave of tariff-related investigations into more than a dozen U.S. trade partners -- including top exporters like the E.U., Mexico and China -- as part of the president's sweeping global trade wars. The process is likely to result in a fresh round of tariffs in the near future, coming after the Supreme Court struck down many of Trump's country-specific taxes last month.

Partners named in the new action are expected to fiercely protest these probes, especially after many reached framework deals with the U.S. over the last year. It is still unclear how White House's announcement would impact those agreements -- and aggrieve existing tensions between the U.S. and its trade partners.

The current blanket 10% tariff on all trading partners will remain in place for no longer than 150 days -- and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the investigations should be wrapped up by the time that period expires.

After a hailstorm battered Billy Hursh's roof in October 2023, two different contractors told him he needed a full replacement, but his insurance company, State Farm, told him the roof was in "fair" condition. That initial dispute eventually led to what would become a yearslong legal battle that has now reached the highest court in the state.

Hursh's lawsuit alleges a "pervasive, state-wide fraudulent Scheme," claiming State Farm developed a way to secretly narrow the definition of hail damage to reduce the amount of full roof replacements the company covers. The alleged hidden policy essentially creates a reality where homeowners' insurance claims are denied before they're even filed.

Law firms told NBC News that more than 600 homeowners in Oklahoma have similar lawsuits pending against the company, which is the top property insurer in the state. State Farm denied any wrongdoing in legal filings.

Growing up on the west side of Los Angeles meant being steeped in Persian culture from a very early age. Many of my friends were first generation Americans, their families having left Tehran in 1979 during the Islamic Revolution.

I grew up hearing their stories of war, persecution and the fight for a new life. When I set out to report this story, I thought of those immigrant families who spent decades dreaming of a different Iran. Writing this story reminded me of the myriad perspectives and the delicate nuances intrinsic to political upheaval.

A young woman aptly described what many Iranians outside of the country are feeling: "I am pro Iranian people."

-- Alicia Lozano, reporter

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